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HCM's Top Stocks Strategy The investment strategy for Heritage Capital’s Top Stocks equity management program is based on a very simple philosophy: “Own the best and ignore the rest.” In short, the focus is on owning only the top rated(1) stocks in each of the S&P 500’s(2) ten economic sectors. Our management approach for the Top Stocks program has three primary tenets:
I. Maintain Sector Weighting equal to S&P 500
We start by maintaining sector weightings equal to those of the S&P 500 index. Our “sector neutral” approach is employed primarily to ensure that the program benefits from broad market movements. In addition, this strategy helps create a well diversified portfolio.
We then focus our stock selection efforts on the top rated stocks within each sector. Instead of owning the biggest companies in each sector (as the unmanaged S&P 500 Index does), our approach is to own only a select few of the stocks our models rate the best in each sector.
Finally, we believe it is imperative to manage risk during severe market declines. We believe that few investors, if given a choice, would want to remain fully invested in stocks during severe market declines. Thus, when our managers feel that risk has become high, our big-picture risk management system is likely to indicate a reduction in the portfolio's exposure to market risk. Identifying the “Top Stocks”
The Top Stocks program employs a disciplined stock selection method designed to identify the top rated(1) stocks within each industry. Each week, every stock in our universe, which is made up of 1600(3) of the largest, most liquid stocks traded in the U.S., is ranked in terms of earnings strength and company performance. In addition, the system ranks 10 market sectors, 20 industry groups, and 109 sub-industry groups for performance and momentum.
It is important to recognize that this is NOT the typical "earnings momentum" type of formula that became so popular in the late 1990’s. Our system for determining a company’s earnings strength and performance includes hundreds of indicators and includes analysis of:
In short, only those stocks with the strongest performance and earnings strength (as defined by our rating systems) "make it" into our Top Stocks universe. Risk Management Strategies Built In
As anyone who has experienced a down market can readily attest, man does not live by stock selection alone. Let’s not forget that the average growth fund (as defined by the Lipper Large Cap Growth Fund Index) lost -64% during the bear market period of 3/31/00 - 3/31/03. Therefore, the Top Stocks program employs a long-term risk management strategy.
While we can’t guarantee our objectives will be realized, HCM’s risk management strategies are designed to first identify, and then stay “in tune” with the market’s "big-picture” cycles. This means that when our major market models are in a bullish mode (indicating risk of a severe market decline is low) we will maintain a fully-invested strategy focusing on the top stocks in each market sector.
However, when our models indicate that market cycles have turned bearish, we will shift our strategy and utilize our proprietary “graduated method” of managing exposure to market risk. During these bearish periods, the goal is to keep exposure to market risk “in-line” with conditions. A Few Details
Below is a summary of some of the logistical details of the Top Stocks program:
(1) As defined by HCM's To Stocks performance rating systems.
(2) The S&P 500 is a stock market index containing the stocks of 500 large-cap corporations, most of which are US companies. The index is the most notable of the many indices owned and maintained by Standard & Poor's, a division of McGraw-Hill. S&P 500 is used in reference not only to the index but also to the 500 companies that have their common stock included in the index. Investors cannot invest directly in the index.
(3) The exact number of stocks in HCM's "institutional universe" is subject to change on a weekly basis.
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